Iowa caucuses, up-to-the-second, constantly-refreshed results.
Obama wins, which is cool. Huckabee wins, which is cool (for Democrats).
The most notable news this evening is that almost all the independents (one-third of Iowans) showed up at the Democrat's caucus: The number of people voting on the "D" side of the aisle almost doubled from turnout 4 years ago, while the number of Republicans turning out was only marginally improved since their last get-together. Twice as many people in Iowa voted for third-place Democrat finisher Hillary than voted for first place Republican winner Huckabee. More people cast votes for a generally unknown Democrat, Governor Bill Richardson, than for Rudy Giuliani.
It was obvious that the Republicans lost the independents back in the 2006 elections, and now it is obvious that they still haven't gotten them back... and apparently they plan on exacerbating the situation by putting up a highly-conservative, religious-right, Baptist preacher as their candidate for President.
So that's an exceptionally important thing to remember from tonight, if this trend holds true (and the reason Iowa is so important, is because that is usually the case): The one-third of America who call themselves independents are going to be leaning way over to the Democratic side this coming election. Republicans have done nothing so far to win them back.
I would guess that it is highly likely that the Democrats will win the White House, but the real question is how many more seats will Republicans lose in Congress this year? According to Cook Political Report, there are currently 22 Republican seats that Democrats could steal in the House of Representatives, and zero Democrat seats that the Republicans can conceivably win. In the Senate, up to 6 more Republican seats might fall to the Democrats this election. All the Republicans can do is keep losses to a minimum... and nominating the Reverend Huckabee for President is not a good start.
|CATZ||Covent Garden Complex, End of Walking Street|
|CHAMPAGNE||Off Soi Diana / Soi Buakhao|
|CLASSROOM||Soi Pattayaland 2, South Side|
|BOESCHE||Covent Garden Complex|
|COYOTEE||Soi Marine Disco|
|DOLLHOUSE||Behind the Walking Street Boxing Ring|
|HEAVEN ABOVE||Soi Diamond Complex South Side Rear Upstairs|
|KITTEN CLUB||Soi Pattayaland 2, North Side|
|LIVING DOLLS SHOWCASE||Halfway Down Walking Street, West Side|
|MANDARIN||Soi 6, South Side|
|MISTYS||Soi Pattayaland 2, South Side|
|SHARK||Covent Garden Complex, Second Floor|
|SPICY GIRLS||Soi Pattayaland 1, North Side|
|SUPERBABY AGOGO||Soi Diamond Complex, South Side, Rear|
|SUPERGIRL AGOGO||Soi Diamond Complex, North Side, Rear|
|TAHITIAN QUEEN 1||Beach Road, Near Soi 12|
|TAHITIAN QUEEN 2||Soi BJ on Walking Street|
|TIGER||Soi Diamond Complex, South Side, Upstairs|
|WHATS UP||Soi Beach Club, North Side|
|WINDMILL||Soi Diamond, South Side|