Alito v. Wade

I've given a fair amount of thought about whether the Supreme Court will ever overturn Roe v. Wade. I don't think it will — Republicans won't allow it to happen.

Seriously. It's a lose-lose situation for conservatives: If Roe v. Wade is overturned (federally), Republicans and conservative groups will have lost their major fund-raising-talking-point-to-get-out-the-vote issue.

What's worse, the Democrats and liberals could say to the 60-plus-percent of the (exceptionally-surprised) American population who actually wanted abortion to remain legal, "it's what the Republican's wanted," and not a single Republican would be able to deny it... after campaigning on it for 30-plus years. If abortion rights were returned to the state level, hundreds of state-level Republicans would be at risk of losing their next election immediately after R.v.W. is overturned by an upset population attempting to safeguard the last front line of "choice."

It's like supporting Pat Robertson's primary campaign for president and then saying, "Wait... hold on a minute... I didn't think he'd actually win! Aw jeez... That's not good."

But on the other hand, maybe I'm overestimating the reaction of the moderate pro-choicers. Maybe they will just shrug their shoulders and go buy Trojans or Ortho pills.